Fresh Design Ideas for your Home

Our preferred interior designers at Designer Furniture Gallery came up with this about tile and the many uses that it has. You may also use these tips when designing your new home to give it that feel that you want in your new home.

Decorating with tile gives you an almost unlimited range of patterns, colors and materials.
The most difficult task may be to decide what kind of beautiful tile best suits your lifestyle and decor.
Tile is one of the oldest and most traditional of building materials, but it can also look totally modern, depending on the type of tile you select, the surfaces you use it for, and the way it’s installed. You can even add Southwestern, Asian or African accents with a carefully selected tile.
Tile is so versatile it can be used on almost any surface, including:Walls, Floors, Countertops, Fireplaces, Table tops, Even ceilings!
And what a variety of tile materials is available, including mosaics, marble, porcelain, glass, natural stone, ceramic, slate and terra cotta. There’s even porcelain tile that looks like wood for better stain resistance and moisture proofing!
One of the challenges of selecting tile is that there are almost too many choices – and they’re all beautiful! That’s why it’s helpful to work with an expert to pick the most fitting tile for your application. For example, bathroom flooring and shower floors need to be slip resistant. And for your kitchen floor, counter top or backsplash, you’ll want to select tile that’s stain-resistant and easy-to-clean.
Compared to many other hard surfaces, most tile is reasonably priced, long-lasting, durable and easy to clean without periodic polishing or sealing. Tile is also flexible because it comes in so many shapes and sizes, from tiny one-inch squares to giant 12-inch by 24-inch rectangles.
Tile surfaces can add beauty, style and durability to your home. They are so versatile – and come in so many choices – that you can create almost any look and mood.

Most Popular New Home Floor Plans

We would like to share two of our most popular new home floor plans that we offer.

The way that a home is laid out can make all the difference in the world. Ence Homes offers floor plans that use every inch of the home to ensure that there is no wasted space and that the home feels open and welcoming.

The first one is our 1660 sq. ft. floor plan with 3 bed, 2 bath and 3 car garage.

Boasting a large three car garage this well laid out home is great for indoor and outdoor living. The spacious entry opens to a large great room, kitchen and dining room. Picture windows show through to a large covered patio great for barbeques and outdoor eating. The kitchen features a huge pantry. Enjoy the his and her walk in closets as part of the master bath. The second and third bedrooms are separated by a full bath. This home provides storage galore.

 

The second floor plan is for someone looking for a little more space it is 2165 sq. ft. 4 bed 2 bath and 3 car garage.

The character of this home is apparent in the spacious entry and private living room. Memories are sure to be made in the large great room dining area combination. Choose the option of the huge covered patio and take the fun outside. You’ll appreciate the over sized pantry in the kitchen. After a long day retreat to the roomy master suite, with corner soaker tub and large walk in shower. This home is designed for excellent family living.

Even though these are our two most popular floor plans we have many other floor plans available. You may also do a custom floor plan to meet your needs. We have an in-house architectural department and a professional design team to help you through the process.

Riverside Cliffs Move-in Ready Home

Looking for a new home in St. George. This home is ready to move in. No need to wait for your home to be built or go through the hassle of buying a used home.

This Move-in Ready home is 1968 sq. ft. 4 bed, 2 bath with 2 car garage. Please call Richard for more information at 435-216-1707.

 

A used home is never what it seems…

A used home is never what it seems, so let Ence Homes build the house of your dreams.

A used home comes with many extra costs that you were not planning on when you bought the home. When you buy new you can move in and instantly enjoy living not working.

New VS. Used

PrimeLending December 16th Newsletter

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Geralann Tabet
Production Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

For the week of December 16th, 2013 – Vol. 11, Issue 50

 

>> Market Update

QUOTE OF THE WEEK… “It is always wise to look ahead, but difficult to look further than you can see.” —Winston Churchill


INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE… Keeping Sir Winston’s words in mind, let’s consider some prognostications coming out now about the real estate market in 2014. A national online listing site sees housing becoming a little less affordable and repeat buyers emerging as the market’s dominant players. The site’s chief economist explained, “repeat buyers will be able to offset the higher price of the home they buy with the higher price from the home they sell.” This expert also sees mortgage rates creeping up, although he feels that should make the mortgage process easier, as lenders shift resources from refinancings to purchase loans.


Freddie Mac’s chief economist revealed that “single family mortgage debt outstanding increased for the first time since 2008.” He further explained: “This is a positive sign, as it reflects that the pick-up in new purchase-money originations has offset loan paydowns and led to a net increase in principal outstanding.” The Mortgage Bankers Association chimed in with a report that purchase loan applications were up a seasonally adjusted 1% for the week ending December 6, compared to a week earlier.

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK
… Despite the popularity of videos and social media, e-newsletters remain very useful marketing tools. Use your Facebook page and website to get sign-ups by offering freebies containing useful information.

>> Review of Last Week

FED FEARS STALL SANTA… Anyone hoping for an end-of-the-year Santa Claus rally to begin early had those hopes dashed last week, as Wall Street investors sent stock prices down, fearing the Fed will start tapering its bond buying program at this week’s FOMC meeting. The Dow and S&P 500 sailed south for the second week in a row, and this time they were joined by the tech-heavy Nasdaq. There wasn’t a lot of economic news, so traders were free to obsess over the coming Fed meeting. Now, a growing number of investors and economists think the central bank will announce the beginning of tapering on Wednesday.

In addition to sending stock prices up, the extra money the Fed has been pouring into the economy was intended to stimulate it. So tapering would be a sign our central bankers have become more confident about the recovery. Evidence to support that confidence came last week in the form of a Retail Sales Report that came in UP 0.7% for November and UP 4.7% over a year ago. This was joined by Wholesale Inventories and Business Inventories registering larger than expected build-ups. Even the monthly Federal Deficit came in lower than expected, while Core PPI wholesale prices remained within the Fed’s target.

The week ended with the Dow down 1.7%, to 15755; the S&P 500 down 1.6%, to 1775; and the Nasdaq down 1.5%, to 4001.


Greater concerns that the Fed could announce tapering as early as this week’s meeting sent bond prices skidding down. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week down .80, to $99.24. This might have pushed mortgage rates up, but national average mortgage rates actually dipped slightly for the week ending December 12 in Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up to the minute information.

DID YOU KNOW?
… Realtor.com reports that more than half of all page views of listings, nationwide, now occur through a mobile device, as opposed to a desktop computer. 

>> This Week’s Forecast 

MANUFACTURING AND HOUSING STARTS UP, INFLATION OK, BUT WILL THE FED START TO TAPER?… Manufacturing activity is forecast to continue expanding in December by both the New York Empire and Philadelphia Fed Indexes. We’ll finally have Housing Starts for September and October, as well as for November, with steady growth expected. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is predicted to show inflation well within the Fed’s target range.

The big focus will be on the FOMC Meeting on Wednesday. With recent improvements in some economic data, the Fed could begin tapering its $85 billion dollar a month bond buying program.

>> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the Week of Dec 16 – Dec 20

 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact
M
Dec 16
08:30 New York Empire Manufacturing Index Dec 5.0 –2.2 Moderate
M
Dec 16
08:30 Productivity–Rev. Q3 2.7% 1.9% Moderate
M
Dec 16
9:15 Industrial Production Nov 0.4% –0.1% Moderate
M
Dec 16
9:15 Capacity Utilization Nov 78.4% 78.1% Moderate
Tu
Dec 17
08:30 Consumer Price Index (CPI) Nov 0.1% –0.1% HIGH
Tu
Dec 17
08:30 Core CPI Nov 0.1% 0.1% HIGH
W
Dec 18
08:30 Housing Starts Sep 915K 891K Moderate
W
Dec 18
08:30 Housing Starts Oct 920K NA Moderate
W
Dec 18
08:30 Housing Starts Nov 950K NA Moderate
W
Dec 18
08:30 Building Permits Nov 983K 1034K Moderate
W
Dec 18
10:30 Crude Inventories 12/14 NA –10.585M Moderate
W
Dec 18
14:00 FOMC Rate Decision 12/18 0%–0.25% 0%–0.25% HIGH
Th
Dec 19
08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 12/14 333K 368K Moderate
Th
Dec 19
08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 12/7 2.760M 2.791M Moderate
Th
Dec 19
10:00 Existing Home Sales Nov 5.00M 5.12M Moderate
Th
Dec 19
10:00 Philadelphia Fed Index Dec 5.0 6.5 HIGH
Th
Dec 19
10:00 Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) Index Nov 0.6% 0.2% Moderate
F
Dec 20
08:30 GDP–3rd Est. Q3 3.6% 3.6% Moderate
F
Dec 20
08:30 GDP Deflator–3rd Est. Q3 2.0% 2.0% Moderate

 

>> Federal Reserve Watch    

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months… The debate has intensified over whether the Fed will begin tapering at this week’s meeting, but economists expect the Funds Rate to stay at its super low level well into next year. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18 0%–0.25%
Jan 29 0%–0.25%
Mar 19 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18      <1%
Jan 29      <1%
Mar 19      <1%

PrimeLending Newsletter December 9th

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Geralann Tabet
Production Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

For the week of December 9th, 2013 – Vol. 11, Issue 49

>> Market Update

QUOTE OF THE WEEK… “We don’t know who we are until we see what we can do.” —Martha Grimes, American writer

INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE… Last week saw that the housing market can put up some pretty impressive New Home Sales numbers. Sales of new single-family homes shot up in October by 25.4% over September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 444,000. This put new home sales up 21.6% versus a year ago. One research firm pointed out that these numbers provide evidence that the edging up of mortgage rates has not seriously hurt the housing recovery.

These analysts noted that October New Home Sales are about equal to those recorded from January to June this year, in spite of the fact that average mortgage rates had drifted up a bit. In fact, the 12-month moving average for new home sales is now at its highest level since March 2009. Inventory is up 25.5% over a year ago, giving buyers more choice, but the faster sales pace dropped the months’ supply to 4.9. For the past 20 years, the average supply of new homes has been 5.7 months. 

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK
… To improve your creativity and mental performance, a study has found that exercise helps. Writers like Henry David Thoreau, Henry James, and Thomas Mann apparently knew this. They all liked a brisk walk before starting work.

>> Review of Last Week

JOBS UP, STOCKS DOWN… A better than expected monthly Employment Report sparked a stock rally on Friday, but it wasn’t big enough to prevent the Dow and S&P 500 from ending down for the week, after eight weekly gains in a row. The good news jobs report featured 203,000 nonfarm payrolls added in November, plus a drop in the unemployment rate from 7.3% to 7.0%, and this one wasn’t driven by a decrease in the labor force participation rate. Investors were delighted to see that the labor market is improving, but not strongly enough to cause the Fed to start tapering its bond buying this month.

Earlier in the week, upbeat economic news had the opposite effect, raising tapering fears that sent stocks down. Better-than-expected data included: the November ISM Index of manufacturing, October New Home Sales, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and lower-than-expected Initial Unemployment Claims. The GDP-2nd Estimate for Q3 surprised at 3.6%, but analysts cautioned that 1.68% of the uptick came from the change in inventories. The Fed Beige Book opined: “The economy continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace from early October through mid-November.” We’ll take that.

The week ended with the Dow down 0.4%, to 16020; the S&P 500 down less than a point, to 1805; and the Nasdaq up 0.1%, to 4063.

Fear that the Fed would soon start to taper its bond buying program sent bond prices south. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week down .21, to $100.04. Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported national average fixed mortgage rates increased for the week ending December 5. Reasons given were the better jobs and home sales numbers. Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up to the minute information.

DID YOU KNOW?
… Activities the Fed may engage in while tapering include reducing its asset purchases and adjusting the Funds rate. Tapering usually only happens when the Fed feels confident about the economy’s direction. 

>> This Week’s Forecast 

RETAIL SALES AND INVENTORIES INCH UP, WHOLESALE PRICES HOLD… The forecast says November Retail Sales will edge upward, showing consumers are still doing their part to help the economic recovery. Both overall retail sales and the number excluding volatile auto sales should continue north.

October Business Inventories are also predicted up. Lastly, we note that wholesale inflation (the prices businesses pay) should stay under control, as measured by the Producer Price Index (PPI).

>> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the Week of Dec 9 – Dec 13

 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact
W
Dec 11
10:30 Crude Inventories 12/7 NA –5.585M Moderate
W
Dec 11
14:00 Federal Budget Nov NA –$172.1B Moderate
Th
Dec 12
08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 12/7 315K 298K Moderate
Th
Dec 12
08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 11/30 2.750M 2.744M Moderate
Th
Dec 12
08:30 Retail Sales Nov 0.6% 0.4% HIGH
Th
Dec 12
08:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Nov 0.3% 0.2% HIGH
Th
Dec 12
10:00 Business Inventories Oct 0.3% 0.6% Moderate
F
Dec 13
08:30 Producer Price Index(PPI) Nov –0.1% –0.2% Moderate
F
Dec 13
08:30 Core PPI Nov 0.1% 0.2% Moderate

 

>> Federal Reserve Watch    

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months… No matter what the Fed does about tapering its asset purchases, experts say that the Funds Rate should remain at its super low level for quite some time. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18 0%–0.25%
Jan 29 0%–0.25%
Mar 19 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18      <1%
Jan 29      <1%
Mar 19      <1%

PrimeLending November 25th

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Geralann Tabet
Production Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

For the week of November 25th, 2013 – Vol. 11, Issue 47

>> Market Update

QUOTE OF THE WEEK… “After all is said and done, more is said than done.” —Aesop, Greek story teller

INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE… Plenty was being said last week about Existing Homes Sales, down 3.2% for October. The talk among some analysts was that the drop indicates a slowdown in the housing recovery. But October sales appear to have been somewhat affected by the government shutdown (remember that?), with closings delayed because the IRS couldn’t verify income. Even with that, October posted the fifth highest level for any month since late 2009, when the home buyer tax credit was about to go away. In fact, October sales came in at a 5.12 million annual rate, up 6% from a year ago.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) feels a lack of inventory is holding down sales, However, the median existing home price is up 12.8% over a year ago, which should bring more sellers into the market. Rising prices also make buyers more willing to commit than when they feared values could keep dropping. Plus, the National Association of Home Builders confidence index held at 54 in November, near its highest levels in eight years, which should boost the new home supply. For the week ending November 15, mortgage applications for purchase loans jumped 6%.

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK
…”Touch it once” is a time-tested time management strategy. Act on an item the moment you touch it, instead of going back to it again and again before actually completing it.

>> Review of Last Week

SWEET 16… In spite of all the talk about stock market bubbles, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 16,000 for the first time ever. This Sweet 16 party was joined by the S&P 500 celebrating its record close above 1800, as it nailed its seventh straight weekly gain. Many investors maintain these increases are not a price bubble. They point to real value tied to better than expected Q3 corporate earnings, improvements in the major economies of the U.S., China, and Europe, and the understanding that although the Fed may taper its bond buying, it won’t raise interest rates any time soon.

Wall Street’s optimistic view of our economic future was supported by Retail Sales, UP 0.4% in October, as the consumer clearly wasn’t spooked by the federal government’s partial shutdown. Business Inventories, UP at a faster-than-predicted 0.6% rate, showed companies seemed as confident as their customers. Yes, Existing Home Sales dipped in October and the Philly Fed showed manufacturing in that region grew less than forecast. But CPI inflation stayed under control and weekly Unemployment Claims saw their largest drop in nearly three months!

The week ended with the Dow up 0.6%, to 16065; the S&P 500 up 0.4%, to 1805; and the Nasdaq up 0.1%, to 3992.

Bonds were pressured after minutes from the October 30 meeting hinted the Fed could begin tapering its bond buying soon. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week down .10, to $101.06. National average fixed mortgage rates fell in Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ending November 21. This was attributed to low overall inflation rates and weaker manufacturing growth. Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up to the minute information.

DID YOU KNOW?
… The NAR reported the median time on market for all homes sold in October was 54 days — and 36% were on the market less than a month! The median time for all homes sold in October 2012 was 71 days. 

>> This Week’s Forecast 

HOME BUILDING AND PENDING SALES UP, CONSUMERS KEEP SMILING… There’s a lot to learn in just three days. We get a two-month view of home building, as October’s Housing Starts and Building Permits come in with September’s, unreported during the government shutdown. Economists expect gains for these, as well as for October Pending Home Sales. Consumer Confidence and Michigan Consumer Sentiment are forecast up in November.

The stock and bond markets are closed on Thanksgiving and close early on Black Friday. Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!

>> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the Week of Nov 25 – Nov 29

 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact
M
Nov 25
10:00 Pending Home Sales Oct 1.3% –5.6% Moderate
Tu
Nov 26
08:30 Housing Starts Sep 915K 891K Moderate
Tu
Nov 26
08:30 Housing Starts Oct 920K NA Moderate
Tu
Nov 26
08:30 Building Permits Sep 932K 918K Moderate
Tu
Nov 26
08:30 Building Permits Oct 932K NA Moderate
Tu
Nov 26
10:00 Consumer Confidence Nov 72.4 71.2 Moderate
W
Nov 27
08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 11/23 330K 323K Moderate
W
Nov 27
08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 11/16 2.875M 2.876M Moderate
W
Nov 27
08:30 Durable Goods Orders Oct –2.2% 3.8% Moderate
W
Nov 27
09:45 Chicago PMI Nov 58.0 65.9 HIGH
W
Nov 27
09:55 Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment–Final Nov 73.0 72.0 Moderate
W
Nov 27
10:00 Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) Index Oct –0.1% 0.7% Moderate
W
Nov 27
10:30 Crude Inventories 11/23 NA 0.375M Moderate

 

>> Federal Reserve Watch    

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months… The debate continues about when the Fed will start to taper its bond buying program, but economists agree that the Funds Rate will stay down where it is well into next year. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18 0%–0.25%
Jan 29 0%–0.25%
Mar 19 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18      <1%
Jan 29      <1%
Mar 19      <1%

PrimeLending Newsletter Nov 11

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Geralann Tabet
Production Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

For the week of November 11th, 2013 – Vol. 11, Issue 45

>> Market Update

QUOTE OF THE WEEK… “For those who believe, no proof is necessary. For those who don’t believe, no proof is possible.” —Stuart Chase, American economist

INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE… People who don’t believe in the housing recovery will no doubt ignore the latest proof of its strength. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that most metro areas saw solid year-over-year price gains in the third quarter. The national median price posted its strongest annual growth in almost eight years. For existing single-family homes, the median price rose in 88% of the markets measured, based on Q3 closings, compared to last year.

However, with “the ongoing situation of more buyers than sellers in the market,” the NAR’s chief economist expects prices “to rise slowly at a single-digit growth rate in 2014.” This of course is good news for anyone worried about homes becoming less affordable. In addition, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said builder confidence in the 55+ housing market continued to improve in Q3 compared to a year ago. The single-family index hit the highest third quarter level since 2008, posting the eighth straight quarter of year-over-year gains.

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK
… People can hit a wall when they’re 95% of the way to a goal, becoming complacent, hesitant, or even negative about what’s been accomplished. Instead, they should use that 95% as the springboard to reach what they want to achieve. 

>> Review of Last Week

NICE JOBS… Friday gave us a very much stronger than expected October jobs report, which then did a nice job on stock prices. The Dow set a new record high by the close of festivities, while the broadly based S&P 500 registered its fifth straight weekly gain. The tech-heavy Nasdaq failed to join the party, down a tick for the second week in a row. The good news amounted to 204,000 payrolls added to the U.S. economy in October, over twice the number expected. Unfortunately, the unemployment rate ticked up to 7.3%, as the labor force dropped by 720,000.

Other news of the week included the Advanced estimate for real GDP growth in Q3 hitting 2.8%, matching its biggest increase in a year. Investment in the housing sector stayed strong, up 14.6%, but consumer spending slowed to a 1.5% gain. Good economic news continued with the ISM Services index showing greater than expected growth for October. Even weekly jobless claims dropped by 9,000. So, despite the predictions from politicians and pundits that the partial government shutdown would have significant economic effects, the private sector doesn’t seem to have been listening.

The week ended with the Dow up 0.9%, to 15762; the S&P 500 up 0.5%, to 1771; but the Nasdaq slipped 0.1%, to 3919.

The October jobs surprise slammed bonds hard. The prospect of a healthier economy and a sooner start to the Fed tapering its bond purchases sent prices southward. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week down 1.73, to $100.28. National average fixed mortgage rates rebounded slightly in Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ending November 7. Their chief economist put it to the “more positive economic data releases.” Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up to the minute information.

DID YOU KNOW?
… GDP growth is an increase in the production of goods and services. “Nominal” growth includes inflation, while “real” GDP growth is nominal growth minus inflation. 

>> This Week’s Forecast 

TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS, PRODUCTIVITY SLIDES, MANUFACTURING SO-SO… This week is relatively quiet, but we may see some useful data. The Trade Balance for September is expected to come in with the deficit unchanged, as exports continue to trail imports. Productivity during the three months ending September 30 is forecast down, but still expanding. Manufacturing is predicted to grow slowly, with Industrial Production up a tad for October and the NY Empire Manufacturing Index ahead for November.

The stock markets will be open on Veteran’s Day, today, but the bond market will be closed.

>> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the Week of Nov 11 – Nov 15

 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact
W
Nov 13
14:00 Federal Budget Oct NA –$120.0B Moderate
Th
Nov 14
08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 11/9 330K 336K Moderate
Th
Nov 14
08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 11/2 2.862M 2.868M Moderate
Th
Nov 14
08:30 Trade Balance Sep –$38.8B –$38.8B Moderate
Th
Nov 14
08:30 Productivity – Prelim. Q3 2.0% 2.3% Moderate
Th
Nov 14
11:00 Crude Inventories 11/9 NA 1.577M Moderate
F
Nov 15
08:30 NY Empire Manufacturing Index Nov 4.3 1.5 Moderate
F
Nov 15
09:15 Industrial Production Oct 0.2% 0.6% Moderate
F
Nov 15
09:15 Capacity Utilization Oct 78.3% 78.3% Moderate

 

>> Federal Reserve Watch    

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months… The debate continues about when the Fed will start tapering its bond purchases, but economists pretty much agree the Funds Rate won’t budge, well into 2014. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18 0%–0.25%
Jan 29 0%–0.25%
Mar 19 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Dec 18      <1%
Jan 29      <1%
Mar 19      <1%

PrimeLending Tax Advice

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Geralann Tabet
Satellite Branch Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

2 types of energy tax credits to take by year end – PLUS 6 things to cover in your Fall cleanup 

In February, the federal tax credit was reinstated for energy efficient home improvements made in 2012 and 2013. A tax credit is a direct reduction of taxes due. It can be better than a tax deduction that only reduces taxable income.

The energy tax credit now has a $500 lifetime cap for qualified energy efficient upgrades to your existing principal residence, but the deadline is December 31. New homes and rentals do not qualify. You’ll find all the details on: http://www.energystar.gov/taxcredits. The highlights:

1. Tax credits for 10% of the cost. You may claim a tax credit of 10% of the cost of certain energy-saving upgrades. These include qualified insulation, windows, roofs, and doors, with a $200 limit for all doors.

2. Tax credits for the full cost. You can claim tax credits for the full cost of specified types of “qualified residential property,” but only up to certain caps. For example:

  • advanced main air circulating fan – $50
  • natural gas, propane, or oil furnace or hot water boiler with annual fuel utilization rate of 95 or greater – $150
  •  electric heat pump water heater with minimum 2.0 energy factor – $300
  •  electric heat pump or central air conditioner that achieves the highest efficiency tier of the Consortium for Energy Efficiency – $300 each
  • natural gas, propane, or oil water heater that has either a minimum energy factor of 0.82 or a minimum thermal efficiency of 90% – $300
  • biomass stove that uses “plant-derived fuel available on a renewable or recurring basis” (see site for details) – $300

You’ll need to file IRS Form 5695 with your tax return and have the Manufacturer’s Certification Statement that the item meets the efficiency requirements on the energystar.gov website. That site also lists a few alternative energy items (such as solar panels) that qualify for tax credits after December 31.

Please consult a tax professional before making any purchases you think will qualify for a tax credit. 

6 KEY FALL CLEANUP AREAS  

1. Lawn. Mow until the first frost, keeping the length above 2.5″. Rake leaves that smother and kill grass. Rake up excess grass clippings using an iron rake or thatch rake. Check with a garden pro whether to aerate and fertilize.

2. Garden. Ask a local expert which plants to fertilize before the first frost. For example, you won’t want to fertilize roses because it discourages winter growth and makes them vulnerable to extreme weather.

3. New plantings. For a nice spring bloom, plant bulbs such as tulips, daffodils, and hyacinths. Day lilies and dahlias are also good for fall planting. To fill bare spots in your lawn, plant cool-season grasses such as perennial rye, bluegrass, and fescue.

4. Deck or patio. Sweep off leaves and debris. Cover patio furniture or remove and store if you have space. Wipe each piece with damp cloths and dry with towels. Remove or cover your grill and store it if possible. Remove mildew on decks with a solution of 3 quarts of water to 1 quart oxygen bleach and 1/4 cup of ammonia-free liquid dishwasher detergent. Put this in a garden sprayer and apply liberally. Let it set for 10 to 15 minutes.

5. Gutters. After most of the leaves have fallen, clean out and repair your gutters. Clogged and leaky gutters can flood the basement and cause other water damage to your home when snow melts.

6. Hoses and Mowers. Disconnect garden hoses and store inside. Turn off water supply at shutoff valve inside the house and open the outdoor spigot to drain it. Drain the gas from your lawn mower and sharpen or replace blades on garden tools.

If you’re thinking about buying a home in today’s market, here’s some great advice from CNN Money. Click here to view. When you’re ready, we can answer any questions about financing. We can also help with refinancing your existing home or funding home improvements. Please call or email us any time. We’re always here for you…. Have a great day!

P.S.: In the recovering housing market, mortgage rates are volatile, but remain at historically attractive levels. When buying or refinancing, it’s smart to start the process early. Please call or email us to explore the appealing options available now.

PrimeLending Newsletter OCT 21

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Geralann Tabet
Production Manager
619 S. Bluff St. Tower 1, Ste 2012
St. George, UT 84770
Direct: 435.215.7342
Fax: 877.371.4777
Cell: 435.619.2452

For the week of October 21st, 2013 – Vol. 11, Issue 42

>> Market Update

QUOTE OF THE WEEK… “Do not even listen, only wait.” —Franz Kafka, novelist and short story writer

INFO THAT HITS US WHERE WE LIVE… The early 20th century author of nightmarish tales certainly had the best advice for getting through the scares coming out of Washington last week. Much of the housing “news” consisted of fearful warnings about what might happen to the real estate recovery if the debt limit weren’t raised or the partial government shutdown continued. These nightmares proved not worth listening to, as an agreement came, although we had to wait until the very last minute. We’ll still have to wait for the reports on September Housing Starts and Building Permits, delayed by the government shutdown.

Real housing news, when it appeared, wasn’t so bad. The day things went back to normal, Fannie Mae’s monthly outlook said the shutdown and debt ceiling debates seem to have had a “minimal effect” on housing. They pointed out rising home prices may actually help cushion any negative economic impacts by raising household net worth. People are clearly still buying, as Ellie Mae reported that purchase mortgages made up 58% of the closed loans in September. Here’s a great link to pass on to prospects: To view, click here.

BUSINESS TIP OF THE WEEK
… To make the day more productive, prioritize your tasks. Ask yourself first thing: “What single accomplishment will let me sleep better tonight?” 

>> Review of Last Week

THE CAN IS KICKED… A half hour into the day the Treasury said it would hit its borrowing limit, the President signed a bill approved by both houses of Congress that raises the debt ceiling through February 7 and funds the government through January 15. Nothing was resolved beyond those dates, so this is what’s known in economic parlance as “kicking the can down the road.” Nonetheless, stocks ended the week solidly ahead, with the S&P 500 posting its best weekly gain since mid-July. Were investors celebrating the reopening of some non-essential government functions and the fact that Treasury wouldn’t default on the debt? 

Not exactly. Some observers felt the stock market advance came on the assumption that the Fed would continue its $85 billion a month of bond purchases to keep interest rates low and stimulate the economy. That’s because the future remains uncertain: the budget standoff wasn’t resolved, it was merely postponed. In any case, the Fed would find it difficult to start tapering bond buying at this month’s meeting, since many of the reports it uses to monitor the economy didn’t come out during the shutdown. We did have weekly Initial Unemployment Claims dipping to 358,000.

The week ended with the Dow up 1.1%, to 15400; the S&P 500 up 2.4%, to 1745; and the Nasdaq up 3.2%, to 3914.

Once the possibility of default evaporated, investors flocked to the safe haven of bonds, made even more attractive by the political shenanigans. The FNMA 3.5% bond we watch ended the week up .97, at $102.00. For the week ending October 17, Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported national average mortgage rates edging higher as we approached the debt limit deadline. Remember, mortgage rates can be extremely volatile, so check with your mortgage professional for up to the minute information.

DID YOU KNOW?
… The Wall Street Journal reports that with today’s home prices and mortgage rates, homes are more affordable now than at any time between 1989 and late 2008. 

>> This Week’s Forecast 

EXISTING HOMES SALES SLOW, NEW HOMES SALES GROW, SEPTEMBER ADDS JOBS… Analysts predict Existing Home Sales will slow a bit for September, but still stay well above the 5 million unit annual rate. The New Home Sales report for that month may be delayed but is forecast up a tad.

The September Employment Report, delayed since October 4, is expected on Tuesday to show jobs inching up, though still below 200,000 added payrolls for the month. This should not be enough to push the Unemployment Rate below 7.3%.

>> The Week’s Economic Indicator Calendar

Weaker than expected economic data tends to send bond prices up and interest rates down, while positive data points to lower bond prices and rising loan rates.

Economic Calendar for the Week of Oct 21 – Oct 25

 Date Time (ET) Release For Consensus Prior Impact
M
Oct 21
10:00 Existing Home Sales Sep 5.30M 5.48M Moderate
M
Oct 21
10:30 Crude Inventories 10/12 NA 6.807M Moderate
Tu
Oct 22
08:30 Average Workweek Sep 34.5 34.5 HIGH
Tu
Oct 22
08:30 Hourly Earnings Sep 0.2% 0.2% HIGH
Tu
Oct 22
08:30 Nonfarm Payrolls Sep 183K 169K HIGH
Tu
Oct 22
08:30 Unemployment Rate Sep 7.3% 7.3% HIGH
W
Oct 23
10:30 Crude Inventories 10/19 NA NA Moderate
Th
Oct 24
08:30 Initial Unemployment Claims 10/19 341K 358K Moderate
Th
Oct 24
08:30 Continuing Unemployment Claims 10/12 2.860M 2.859M Moderate
Th
Oct 24
10:00 New Home Sales (tentative) Sep 432K 421K Moderate
F
Oct 25
08:30 Durable Goods Orders (tentative) Sep 3.5% 0.1% Moderate
F
Oct 25
09:55 Univ. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment–Final Oct 74.5 75.2 Moderate

 

>> Federal Reserve Watch    

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months… In the absence of long term budget and debt ceiling solutions, economists now expect the Fed to keep the Funds Rate at its super low level through next year. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same.

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Oct 30 0%–0.25%
Dec 18 0%–0.25%
Jan 29 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus 
Oct 30      <1%
Dec 18      <1%
Jan 29      <1%